“80 or 90 important (mental) models will carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly‑wise person.” ~ Charlie Munger

Categories

Success | Decision-Making & Thinking | Biases | Human Nature & Judgement | Economics & Strategy | Numeracy & Interpretation | Investing | Biological World | Physical World |

Success

Antifragility

Input Goals

Information Arbitrage

Fosbury Flop

Exponential Thinking

Minimum Viable Product

The 5/25 Rule

Unlearning

The 5-minute Rule

The Snowball Effect

Proactive Procrastination

Compartmentalization

Resistance

The 80/20 Rule

Leverage

Redundancy

Human Nature & Judgement

The Lindy Effect

Goodhart’s Law

Argumentum ad populum

Parkinson’s Law

Reciprocity

Framing Effect

The 10/1 Rule

Trust

Availability Heuristic

Anchoring

Envy and Jealousy

Denial

Stress

Social Proof

Mental Accounting

Pavlovian Association

Operant Conditioning

Sunk Cost Fallacy

Liking Tendency

Stereotyping

Groupthink

Curse of Knowledge

Representativeness Heuristic

Narrative Instinct

Bizarreness Effect

Baader-Meinhof Phenomenon

Cobra Effect

Boomerang Effect

Curiosity Instinct

Language Instinct

Hasty Generalization

Relative Satisfaction

Kantian Fairness Tendency

Fundamental Attribution Error

Principle of Least Effort

Cognitive Dissonance

Hard-Easy Effect

Focusing Effect

Planning Fallacy

Reputation Fragility

Noise Bottleneck

Keynesian Beauty Contest

Serpico Effect

Depressive Realism

Skill Compensation

Compassion Face (or Compassion Fade)

Three Men Make a Tiger

Buridan’s Ass

Imposter Syndrome

Semmelweis Effect (or Semmelweis Reflex)

False-Consensus Effect

McNamara Fallacy

Lucid Fallacy

Dunning-Kruger Effect

Abilene Paradox

In-Group Favoritism

Collective Narcissism

Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy

Plain Folks Fallacy

Poisoning the Well

Appeal to Consequences

Behavioral Inevitability

Self-Handicapping

False Uniqueness Effect

Backfiring Effect

Positive Illusions

Ironic Process Theory

Aumann’s Agreement Theorem

Ostrich Effect

Bounded Rationality

Fluency Heuristic

Persian Messenger Syndrome

Okrent’s Law

Vierordt’s Law

Cunningham’s Law

Tyranny of Small Decisions

Hyperbolic Discounting

Delayed Gratification

Observer Effect

Golem Effect

Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs

Bystander Effect

Hot Hand Fallacy

Gambler’s Fallacy (aka Monte Carlo Fallacy)

Acton’s Law

Brandolini’s Law

Peltzman’s Law

Investing

Paradox Of Choice

Marshmallow Test

Cult-Like Communities

David Cowan’s Road Map

[Jerry Colonna’s “Analog Analog”](https://josefos.notion.site/Jerry-Colonna-s-Analog-Analog-8d6627b21c5844ad80fa1b6c11c9ce64)

Capital Allocation Options

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)

Efficient-Market Hypothesis

Gambler’s Ruin (Investing)

Leverage (Investing)

Kelly Criterion (Investing)

Systems

Scale

Pareto Principle

Law of Diminishing Returns

Algorithms